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Img source:portable storage units moving Every quarter, GTM Research's solar analysts compile the most important data and findings from the past three months. The most important charts from the Q4 2014 Solar Executive Briefing covering pricing, installations, financing, policy and business models follow.The new China solar tariff decision may drive panel prices below 65 cents per watt this year.Earlier this month, the U.S. Department of Commerce filed its preliminary review of the import tariffs on Chinese cells into the U.S. The review called for tariffs on Chinese cells to be reduced, and assuming the final decision doesn't stray too far from the review, GTM Research expects U.S. module prices to fall to 64 cents per watt this year.High-efficiency module technologies are gaining steam. According to GTM Research's Shyam Mehta, the shift is "driven by the increased value proposition of high efficiency relative to module costs, an end-market mix shift toward rooftop applications, and reduced all-in costs for high-efficiency products."The megawatt-scale solar operations and maintenance (O&M) market still looks like the Wild West.Dozens of companies are fighting for market share in the operations and maintenance market, from inverter and module manufacturers to developers and EPCs. Everyone wants a piece of the O&M pie.(Click to enlarge)Grid integration is becoming an increasing focus for inverter manufacturers.Inverter manufacturers are beginning to design solutions to help alleviate some of the integration challenges facing utilities. The chart below highlights a few markets with high PV penetration relative to electricity generating capacity.(Click to enlarge)Net energy metering is becoming popular outside of the U.S.Net energy metering has helped grow distributed generation PV markets in the United States, and other countries have started to take notice. GTM Research's Adam James highlights a few NEM proposals across three continents that aren't North America.(Click to enlarge)More than 4 gigawatts of utility-scale solar have been procured outside of RPS requirements in the past twelve months. GTM Research's Cory Honeyman attributes the success of projects outside RPS guidelines to utility-scale PV's competitiveness with natural-gas alternatives.Best-in-class residential solar will be installed for less than $3 per watt this year.The largest cost difference between best-in-class installers and the rest of the market comes from labor and supply chain savings.Loans are the hottest thing in U.S. residential solar.As we reported last year, the market share for residential solar leases peaked in 2014 as loans have emerged and shifted the market back toward direct ownership. Solar Analyst Nicole Litvak developed a taxonomy of companies offering residential solar loans in the U.S. see more at:off grid solar power systems
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Img source:home battery backup Wind farms in South Australia generated enough electricity to meet 43 percent of the state's power requirements last month. A new wind generated power benchmark for July was also set across the entire National Electricity Market (NEM) according to the Clean Energy Council (CEC) - around 6 percent. "Australia’s wind farms were working overtime in the cold conditions during July. South Australia comfortably powered ahead to set a new wind power record, helped by a bit of extra renewable grunt from the new Snowtown II wind farm," said CEC Acting Chief Executive Kane Thornton. "With more than 40 per cent of the state’s power demand provided by wind energy for the entire month, it is clear that large amounts of renewable energy can be added to the system without the need for extra backup generation to be built." Mr. Thornton stated more than $5 billion of wind power investment had poured into South Australia in the last decade, creating hundreds of greatly-needed jobs and providing the state with a low-cost, cleaner power supply. "None of this would be possible without the national Renewable Energy Target, which is currently under review. Approximately $15 billion of additional investment will be generated by the policy if the scheme if left as it is currently legislated."With jobs a huge issue in South Australia - the state has the nation's second highest unemployment level - the yet to be realised investment is sorely needed and may not ever happen if the outcome of the RET review recommends changes that would negatively impact on the sector. As well as being a wind power leader, solar power in South Australia is also very strong. While the state may not have the most systems; it has the highest market saturation level.  According to solar provider Energy Matters, a 5kW solar panel system installed in Adelaide can return of financial benefit of between $1,458 - $2,389 a year.  Energy Matters' Australian Solar Index; which provides a snapshot of average internal rate of return (IRR) for solar power systems installed in various locations around Australia, shows an average IRR of 19.1% for Adelaide - making solar one of the best investments available. see more at:power battery pack
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Img source:portable storage devices A new roadmap from India’s largest provider of solar solutions shows how the nation could become a global solar superpower within ten years, adding 145 GW of solar capacity through a network of residential, commercial, utility and ultra-mega-scale solar power systems. The joint report, "How should India drive its solar transformation? Beehives or Elephants", released by Tata Power Solar and consulting firm Bridge to India, examines the pros and cons of rolling out four different types of solar power generation – residential rooftop, 1-5 KW (solar bees); commercial rooftop, 10-500KW (solar pigeons); utility-scale, 5-50MW (solar horses); and ultra-mega projects, 1-3GW (solar elephants). Although solar now accounts for just one per cent of India’s installed capacity, Bridge to India Director, Dr Tobias Engelmeier, says falling PV prices have changed the fundamentals of domestic energy supply since 2010, when India’s National Solar Mission set a target of installing 20 GW of grid-connected solar power by 2022. "The realisable potential for solar power generation in India is between 110 GW to 145GW across different types of systems. The four scenarios together could easily create over 675,000 solar jobs in India in the next 10 years. But, the real issue is to choose the best way for India to go solar which entails a fair choice between millions of small systems ("bees") on one end of a spectrum and a few very large systems ("elephants") on the other, the former creating a consumer market and the latter an infrastructure market." Importantly, the report analyses each scenario not only in terms of the levelised cost of energy (LCOE) – the cost of building the systems - but also the landed cost of power (LCOP) which is the cost to the consumer at the point of consumption, rather than generation. The report argues that LCOP costs can be as much as 30 per cent higher than LCOE, and is therefore a more accurate way to measure the economic viability of energy systems. The cheapest immediate option is the solar elephant, mega-scale plants of 1-3 GW capacity. Already on par with coal-fired power, they have a LCOE of INR 6.6/kWh (AUD 0.12/kWh) and a landed cost of INR 8.4/kWh (AUD 0.15/kWh). But with coal import costs expected to soar over the next three years, the report finds all other scenarios –the horses, pigeons and bees will soon also reach price parity with coal. In the long term, large rooftop systems will be the cheapest option for Indian with a levelised generation cost of INR 6.6/kWh (AUD 0.12/kWh and a landed cost of INR 6.7/kWh (AUD 0.12/kWh) by 2024, the report states. India has the potential to become one of the largest transformative solar markets in the world, free of subsidies and with a thriving solar value creation ecosystem. However, it must strike a balance among the various ramp-up opportunities it has – both via central and distributed generation. Thus, the report recommends specific actions in each of these areas. see more at:solar off grid system
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